TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, offering various thresholds for scoring performance. Each threshold represents a different level of offensive success that bettors can wager on, reflecting the potential range of scoring outcomes in the match.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Chicago or Carolina in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a scoring threshold, and if the designated team exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' The thresholds vary incrementally, allowing for a range of possible outcomes from low-scoring to high-scoring performances. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different team total outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with prices determined by supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team total will be determined by the official combined score of both the Chicago and Carolina teams as reported by official league sources. Once the official result is available, Kalshi will verify the outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or significant weather forecasts could all impact the perceived probability of different team total outcomes. Unexpected performance in previous games, or even public sentiment expressed through social media and sports news, could also shift trading activity. Major announcements related to team dynamics or game-day conditions are likely to cause price fluctuations in this market.