TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:41 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on predicting whether specific quarterbacks will exceed certain rushing attempt thresholds during a football game. Outcomes depend on actual performance metrics recorded during the match, with provisions for handling scenarios where players are active but do not take snaps.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by the specified quarterback during the Chicago vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the named quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold of rushing attempts that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. These thresholds vary across markets for each quarterback, allowing for multiple levels of prediction regarding their rushing involvement. The markets are independent, and each resolves strictly based on its defined criteria.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or sharp action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. Discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as traders interpret data differently than sportsbooks. It’s common to see the market odds converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, leading to dynamic price movements. The market efficiently incorporates new information, making it a valuable tool for assessing the likely number of rushing attempts in this NFL matchup.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both the Chicago and Carolina teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will reflect the official data released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes to the teams’ offensive strategies. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also impact the expected number of rushing attempts. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or player availability could also shift market sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements before Sep 13, 2026.