TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions for specific players in an upcoming football game, resolving based on whether each player meets or exceeds designated reception thresholds.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the minimum number of receptions stated in the market title during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based strictly on the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. All markets are independent and evaluated separately for each player and threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. This can lead to divergences, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. It’s common to see this market adjust more quickly to impactful news than sportsbook lines, as traders react in real-time to changing circumstances surrounding the game and player performance.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NFL statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the final, official reception totals for each player involved in the market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. It’s important to note that the official NFL statistics are the definitive source for determining the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports are a major catalyst, as the status of key players directly impacts their ability to accumulate receptions. Changes in weather conditions, particularly those affecting passing games, can also drive movement. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding play-calling strategies or target distribution could also shift the odds. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could prompt traders to reassess the probabilities of different outcomes, leading to fluctuations in this market.