TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the performance of quarterbacks Bryce Young and Caleb Williams in a specific NFL matchup, tracking how many passing touchdowns each player throws during the game. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' ability to score through the air, reflecting their effectiveness as offensive leaders in this contest.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by either Bryce Young or Caleb Williams in the Chicago vs Carolina NFL game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For any market, if the relevant quarterback is active for the team but does not take a single snap during the game, the market settles at its fair market price as determined before the game begins. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during that game. This applies uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in settlement regardless of the threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) specified for each individual market.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly updating its forecast based on the aggregated actions of all participants, offering a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and subsequent market settlement.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in weather forecasts, or adjustments to offensive strategies could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about quarterback availability, or reports on receiver matchups, are also likely to cause price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals closely can help traders anticipate potential shifts in the market.