TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks Bryce Young and Caleb Williams in a specific NFL game, focusing on their ability to avoid turnovers through passing interceptions. The outcome depends on whether each player records a certain number of interceptions during the match, reflecting their accuracy and decision-making under pressure.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around passing interceptions for both Bryce Young and Caleb Williams in the Chicago vs Carolina NFL game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+) for each quarterback. If a quarterback meets or exceeds the specified number of interceptions, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule states that if either quarterback is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. These rules ensure that markets are resolved accurately based on in-game performance, accounting for potential scenarios where a player might be present but not involved in offensive plays.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for the house. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand, representing the collective wisdom of traders. While sportsbooks often adjust lines based on betting action and public perception, this market reflects a more direct assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome – the number of passing interceptions in the Chicago vs. Carolina game. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, dynamically adjusting as new information becomes available and opinions change. Traders are attempting to forecast the final result of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown in the Chicago vs. Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning contract. The market will then settle, and contract holders of the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution. It's important to monitor the game and official statistics as the event unfolds.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team – injuries, changes in playing status – would be a major catalyst. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also shift expectations. Pre-game analysis from football experts, highlighting a team’s defensive strengths or a quarterback’s tendencies, could also impact trading activity. Finally, any significant in-game events, such as early interceptions or changes in game strategy, could lead to rapid price movements.