TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Chicago Stars FC and Angel City FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Stars FC" if Chicago Stars FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Angel City FC" if Angel City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Chicago Stars FC and Angel City FC, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Stars FC" if Chicago Stars FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Angel City FC" if Angel City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader consensus and real-money incentives. This market aggregates the beliefs of many participants wagering their own capital, which can surface insights that differ from bookmaker lines. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion on the first goal scorer diverges from professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one team scoring first, and the price reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises; conversely, selling pressure lowers it. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information about team form, injuries, and tactical adjustments.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources such as official league records or major sports news outlets. Whichever team scores the opening goal determines the winning outcome, and traders holding the correct share receive their payout. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the match is abandoned under league rules.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive injuries affecting goalkeeper availability. Tactical announcements or lineup changes disclosed before kickoff can shift expectations about attacking intent and defensive solidity. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and referee assignments may affect early-game tempo. As match time approaches, late-breaking roster updates or pre-game commentary from analysts can trigger sharp price movements in this market.