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399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Chicago Sky vs Los Angeles Sparks?

Volume:
$1,565,739

Over 176.5 points scored

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 11, 12:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 176.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$286,976
N/A
N/A
$202,796
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 176.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$58,966
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 188.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$123,064
N/A
N/A
$45,853
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 185.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$70,421
N/A
N/A
$31,558
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 179.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59,316
N/A
N/A
$21,667
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 179.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 182.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,126
N/A
N/A
$16,358
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 173.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,465
N/A
N/A
$13,339
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 167.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,927
N/A
N/A
$9,817
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 170.5 points scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,480
N/A
N/A
$10,311
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 177.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 178.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,919
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 180.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dearica Hamby: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 38

Intro

This market tracks whether Dearica Hamby will record more or fewer than 2.5 assists in the Chicago Sky versus Los Angeles Sparks WNBA matchup. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket shows 100.0% probability for the over/under 2.5 assists outcome. Resolution will be determined by official WNBA statistics published on wnba.com/scores following the game scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Watch Hamby's assist totals during the game on July 10 to see whether the market consensus holds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi track orthogonal outcomes from the same game. Polymarket is a binary winner market; Kalshi comprises quantitative over/under markets on combined scoring. These require separate resolution logic and do not create a unified settlement framework.Hero tip: Do not assume correlation between these markets. A team winning does not determine total points, and vice versa. Monitor both markets independently. Confirm Kalshi's handling of postponement and cancellation, as the source data does not address these scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner market. Resolves to 'Chicago Sky' or 'Los Angeles Sparks' based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Nine separate over/under markets on combined team points at thresholds 167.5, 170.5, 173.5, 176.5, 179.5, 182.5, 185.5, 188.5, and 191.5. Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold. No documented cancellation or postponement policy.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 10:00PM ET: If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the combined final score of both teams in the Chicago vs Los Angeles women's professional basketball game scheduled for July 10, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific point threshold: 167.5, 170.5, 173.5, 176.5, 179.5, 182.5, 185.5, 188.5, and 191.5 points. A market resolves to Yes if the teams' combined score exceeds the stated threshold. The final official score as recorded by the league at the conclusion of regulation play determines the outcome. If the game is postponed or cancelled, standard event cancellation procedures apply.

Frequently asked questions

The WNBA matchup market aggregates trader sentiment across Polymarket and Kalshi, capturing real-time probability estimates for this contest. Traders on both platforms continuously update their positions, creating a dynamic consensus view of the likely outcome. The dashboard reflects current odds, cumulative trading volume, and price movement across venues, allowing you to monitor how market participants are pricing the matchup as game day approaches. This cross-platform perspective reveals whether consensus is building or shifting between the two teams.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs without a built-in house edge. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probability over time, especially as liquidity grows and informed traders participate. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether one venue perceives higher or lower probability than the other, potentially signaling value or consensus shifts.

Polymarket and Kalshi may show different odds due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with different risk tolerances and information sets, so prices can diverge temporarily until arbitrage activity narrows the gap. Platform-specific fees, withdrawal policies, and market design also influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Monitoring both venues helps you identify pricing inefficiencies and understand where the broader market is most confident.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance, and head-to-head matchup history. Trades or significant player absences can shift perceived strength substantially. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action on external sportsbooks often flow into prediction markets, moving odds as consensus updates. Momentum from recent games, home-court advantage, and playoff implications may also influence trader positioning. Monitor team news and league updates closely, as even minor developments can trigger repricing across both platforms.