TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market examines whether both Chicago Fire and Vancouver will each score at least one goal during their MLS match on July 16, 2026. The outcome depends on offensive performance from both teams over the standard 90-minute match plus any stoppage time added by the referee.
If Chicago Fire and Vancouver both score a goal in the Chicago Fire vs Vancouver MLS match originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show a different probability than traditional sports betting sites, especially as game day approaches and new information surfaces. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed, though both aim to reflect the true likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks, and the last executed trade price reflects the current consensus probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from near zero to near 100, with each point representing a 1% implied probability. As traders update their positions based on team news, injury reports, and tactical analysis, the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit at the prevailing market rate whenever liquidity permits.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the Chicago Fire versus Vancouver match concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome hinges on whether both teams score at least one goal each during regulation and any applicable extra time. Once the event is complete and the official scoreline is confirmed, the market will settle to reflect whether the BTTS condition was met, and all positions will be marked to their final value.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star forwards or defensive players, lineup announcements closer to kickoff, and recent form trends for both sides. Weather conditions and venue factors can also shift expectations around goal-scoring likelihood. As the match date approaches, any tactical shifts, managerial statements, or betting market activity may prompt traders to adjust their positions. Live updates during the game itself—early goals, red cards, or defensive breakdowns—will drive sharp price swings until the final whistle.