TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.3b

24H VOL:

$107,419,736

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,594,026,835

471,138

Markets across

35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union?

Total volume:
$556,894
Volume 24h:
$554,595
146,422%
Liquidity:
$37,925
85%
Open interest:
$420,996N/A

Philadelphia Union

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 11:20 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Philadelphia Union

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$423,658
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

PHI

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$28,791
$29,786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,379
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

CHI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$5,905
$9,936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,229
$5,486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the October 14, 2026 Major League Soccer match between Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union, specifically whether Philadelphia Union will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Philadelphia Union winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (MLS). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 14, 2026, as the final result will determine market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution logic, relying on official match statistics and a defined fallback procedure.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (MLS).

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled, win/loss markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are not available within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
  • No Acceptable Data: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the match's scheduled completion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Chicago Fire FC and Philadelphia Union.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes for the MLS match outcome. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability distribution for the result of the Chicago Fire FC versus Philadelphia Union game. The aggregated volume across both platforms is $556,894, with $549,048 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of prediction market traders assesses the potential for each team to win, or for a draw, providing a dynamic forecast as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different set of information and incentives compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by users incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets may more efficiently incorporate diverse perspectives and real-time information. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market can quickly adjust based on the collective analysis of many traders, potentially offering a more accurate signal than traditional odds.

This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Chicago Fire FC versus Philadelphia Union match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on the official result as reported by Major League Soccer, and will be verified against credible public sources. The market will then settle, distributing payouts to traders who correctly predicted the result.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 15, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either team would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. Major weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant news regarding team management or ownership, could all contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the market.