TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 10:53 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 1 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for August 1 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks depending on where informed traders believe true value lies. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Polymarket disagrees with professional oddsmakers, sometimes signaling mispricing opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The specific result—whether determined by final score, match statistics, or other relevant metrics—will be assessed against authoritative sources to settle all positions. Traders should monitor official match records and announcements as the resolution date approaches to understand how their positions will be adjudicated.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or managerial decisions that affect competitive balance. Recent form, head-to-head records, and league standings can shift trader expectations as the match date nears. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments in player availability may also trigger significant price swings. Real-time match events—once play begins—will drive rapid repricing as traders react to unfolding action and updated win probabilities.