TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the Chicago Cubs versus Miami Marlins baseball game scheduled for September 5 at 4:10 PM ET. Currently, the consensus probability of a Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins win is 99.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Predict. Resolution will be based on official final statistics of the event as recognized by MLB (https://www.mlb.com/). Keep an eye on the game’s completion, as markets will remain open until a final result is available, with resolution expected by September 12, 2026.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 5 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 5 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Market design and user participation patterns drive pricing differences between Polymarket and Predict for this market. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics and may have varying levels of liquidity, reflected in a group volume of $568,571 and a 24-hour volume of $520,914. These factors influence how odds are set and adjusted in real time, leading to divergent probabilities even for the same underlying event.