TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming baseball game between Chicago and Washington, the first inning will determine if either team manages to score any runs. Scoring early can set the tone for the entire game and impact player morale and strategy. The outcome will depend on early-game performance and pitching effectiveness.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Chicago C vs Washington professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 11, 2026 at 6:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the two possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team is more likely to score first in the inning. This dynamic pricing adjusts continuously as new information emerges and trading volume changes.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the play-by-play record of the game, specifically which team scores the first run in the first inning, and is finalized once official game statistics are published.
Key signals that could shift odds in this market include starting pitcher announcements, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, recent team performance trends, and any last-minute roster changes. Injuries to key players or changes in managerial strategy might also influence trader sentiment and shift the implied probabilities dramatically as the game approaches.