TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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$1,436,095,462

405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Chicago C vs St. Louis: First 5 Innings
kalshi

Chicago C vs St. Louis: First 5 Innings

Volume:
$35,723

St. Louis wins first 5 innings

 - Kalshi

St. Louis wins first 5 innings - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 29, 8:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

St. Louis wins first 5 innings

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,175
N/A
N/A
$6,382
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago C wins first 5 innings

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,216
N/A
N/A
$23,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,331
N/A
N/A
$2,210
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks which team will be ahead after the first five innings of the Chicago Cubs versus St. Louis Cardinals matchup. On Kalshi, Chicago Cubs holds 47.5% probability of winning the first five innings, while St. Louis Cardinals sits at 36.0%. The market resolves based on the official result from the game scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT. Watch the starting pitching matchups and early offensive performance when the teams take the field on May 29, as first-inning momentum often sets the tone for early-inning outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader conviction rather than fixed opening odds. Sportsbooks manage liability and apply margins, while prediction markets aggregate continuous buy-and-sell signals from participants. For the Cubs-Cardinals first 5 innings, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the market is pricing Chicago's early-inning advantage differently than oddsmakers, potentially highlighting value opportunities or consensus shifts.

The market resolves at May 30, 2026, which corresponds to the completion of the fifth inning in the Cubs-Cardinals game. The outcome is determined by which team has scored more runs through the end of the fifth inning. Once the fifth inning concludes, the final run totals are recorded and the contract settles based on whether Chicago or St. Louis holds the lead at that point.

Key catalysts include starting pitcher announcements, bullpen availability, and recent offensive trends in early innings for both teams. Weather conditions—wind direction and temperature—can significantly affect early-inning scoring at the ballpark. Injury updates to key position players or pitchers, lineup changes, and head-to-head matchup history in the first five innings all influence trader positioning. As game time approaches and the first few innings unfold, live run scoring will drive sharp repricing of remaining time value.