TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for an evening match. The focus is on whether either team manages to score during the initial period of play. This early scoring moment determines the outcome of interest for the event.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Chicago C vs Seattle professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts that represent the two possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective wisdom of participants, factoring in everything from recent team performance to starting pitcher statistics. This dynamic pricing adjusts continuously as new information emerges and trading volume fluctuates.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, as officially recorded in the box score and widely reported across sports news outlets.
Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include last-minute changes to starting lineups, weather conditions affecting game dynamics, and any pre-game commentary from coaches or players about strategic approaches. Additionally, injury updates or performance trends from recent at-bats could cause traders to adjust their positions as the game draws nearer.