TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks individual team run totals for both the Chicago Cubs and San Francisco Giants in their June 14, 2026 game. Bettors can predict whether each team will score above specific run thresholds independently.
Resolution is determined by the individual run totals scored by each team in the Chicago C vs San Francisco game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT. San Francisco's outcomes resolve based on whether the Giants score 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), continuing through 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Chicago C's outcomes resolve based on whether the Cubs score 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), continuing through 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Each team's thresholds are evaluated independently based on that team's final run total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs through continuous trading. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue processes new information faster. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders and casual bettors disagree, though both ultimately aim to price the same underlying outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the latest matched trade, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position. As new evidence surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to move. This continuous price discovery process ensures the market reflects the collective forecast of all active participants.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the event result is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on the final verified team total for Chicago, measured against the threshold embedded in the market contract. Once the event concludes and the official result is published, the market will settle automatically and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official announcements as the date approaches.
Key roster changes, injuries to star players, or coaching adjustments could significantly shift expectations for Chicago's scoring output. Recent team performance trends, strength-of-schedule matchups, and head-to-head records against the opponent will influence trader positioning. Off-court developments such as trades, suspensions, or trades announced before the game may trigger sharp repricing. As game day approaches, line movement at major sportsbooks and sharp money flows often precede notable shifts in this market, signaling where informed traders are concentrating their bets.