TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Chicago will win by more than 1.5 runs against Pittsburgh in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the probability that Chicago wins by over 1.5 runs stands at 98.0%. The market resolves based on the final margin of victory in the professional baseball game between these teams. Watch for the outcome of the Chicago C vs Pittsburgh game on May 28, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT to determine the final result.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect a different participant base and incentive structure. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. The Kalshi market for Pittsburgh's run spread may price the outcome differently than major sportsbooks, depending on where informed traders see value. Comparing Kalshi odds to consensus sportsbook lines can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where smart money is positioned. Both venues serve different purposes: sportsbooks for wagering, prediction markets for price discovery.
The Chicago C vs Pittsburgh: Spread market resolves on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official run differential between the two teams in their scheduled matchup. The specific outcome tracked—whether Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs—will be settled based on the box score recorded by the relevant sports authority. Once the game concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market will lock and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning contract. Traders should monitor game status and any postponements or rescheduling that could affect the resolution timeline.
Several catalysts could shift odds for this Chicago C vs Pittsburgh spread before May 29, 2026. Lineup announcements, particularly starting pitcher confirmations, often trigger sharp moves since pitching quality directly impacts run production. Injury reports to key position players or bullpen arms can alter scoring expectations. Recent team form, weather conditions on game day, and travel fatigue may influence trader positioning. Breaking news about roster changes or trades involving either team could prompt repricing. As game time approaches, late-breaking weather forecasts or last-minute lineup changes typically generate final volatility. Monitor sports news and Kalshi order flow to anticipate and react to these shifts.