TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event covers individual team run totals for the Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets game on June 22, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether each team will exceed various run thresholds throughout the full game.
Resolution is based on the final official run totals for each team in the Chicago C vs New York M professional baseball game scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. New York M's run total determines outcomes for thresholds ranging from 2 runs through 8 runs, while Chicago C's run total determines outcomes for the same range. Each threshold is evaluated independently: New York M scoring 2+ runs resolves its 1.5 over to Yes, 3+ runs resolves its 2.5 over to Yes, and so forth through 8+ runs for the 7.5 over. Chicago C's thresholds operate identically. The game's final score as recorded in official MLB records will be used for resolution.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where professional traders see value relative to traditional betting markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief about the team total outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with the current bid-ask spread indicating the tightest consensus at any moment. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the market price adjusts to reflect updated expectations about the final combined score.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, after the Chicago C and New York M game concludes. The outcome is determined by the verified final combined point total for both teams, confirmed once the event result is available from credible public sources. Traders holding contracts aligned with the actual outcome receive their payout, while those on the incorrect side lose their stake. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the game's official completion.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, or weather conditions affecting gameplay could shift trader expectations and move prices significantly. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often signal sharp action and can influence prediction market sentiment. Recent team performance, head-to-head matchup history, and pre-game commentary from analysts may also drive trading activity. As game time approaches, late-breaking news or lineup confirmations typically create volatility in this market's pricing.