TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Chicago C or Miami baseball team will win their professional game. Currently, Kalshi gives Chicago C an 87.0% probability of winning, while Miami has a 14.0% chance. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Chicago C vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, as determined by the game’s final result. Keep an eye on the scheduled game time of September 5, 2026, as this date marks the end of the betting period and the definitive resolution of this market.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Chicago C and Miami originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 4:10 PM EDT. If Chicago C wins the game, the Chicago C market resolves to Yes, and the Miami market resolves to No. Conversely, if Miami wins, the Miami market resolves to Yes, and the Chicago C market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed but rescheduled within two days of the original date, the market remains open until the game concludes, with the outcome determined at that time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring that participants are compensated based on the likelihood of each outcome at the time of the change.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see this market incorporate information and perspectives not immediately factored into traditional betting lines, offering a potentially different view on the likely result of the Chicago vs Miami game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating smooth trading and price discovery for this event. The goal is to create a liquid and efficient market where participants can express their views and hedge their risks.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Chicago vs Miami game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Major announcements from team management or key players could also impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even significant shifts in expert analysis, could all contribute to movement in this market leading up to Sep 5, 2026.