TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Two professional baseball teams compete in a game scheduled for June 11, 2026, with outcomes based on the run differential between teams during the first five innings.
This event comprises spread markets for the first five innings of the Chicago C vs Colorado professional baseball game scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 3:10 PM EDT. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins by more than the stated run margin at the end of the fifth inning. Colorado's spreads range from winning by more than 1.5 runs through more than 2.5 runs, while Chicago C's spreads follow the same progression in the opposite direction. Resolution is based on the official score at the end of the fifth inning. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time crowd belief rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust for liability and hold margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader conviction directly. For the Chicago C vs Colorado First 5 Spread, comparing Kalshi implied probability to major sportsbook opening lines can reveal whether predictors are more or less bullish on Chicago's early performance than professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the Chicago C vs Colorado First 5 Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether Chicago covers (or fails to cover) the designated first-quarter spread threshold. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the crowd's estimated probability of that outcome. As game time approaches and new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or betting action—the price adjusts continuously to reflect updated market expectations.
The Chicago C vs Colorado First 5 Spread market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-quarter (or first-half, depending on market definition) point spread result between Chicago and Colorado as recorded by the league. Once the specified period concludes and the final score is confirmed, the market settles to either yes or no based on whether Chicago met or exceeded the spread threshold.
Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting either team's starting lineup, late-game roster changes, or unexpected player absences. Pregame betting action and sharp money movement can also shift market prices as professionals enter positions. Weather conditions (if relevant), team momentum from recent games, and any coaching adjustments communicated before tipoff will influence trader conviction. Real-time game flow—early fouls, turnovers, or shooting efficiency—will drive price movement once play begins.