TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chicago C vs Boston
kalshi
predict

Who will win Chicago C vs Boston?

Volume:
$3,570,803

Boston

 - Kalshi

Boston - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 8:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,425,494
N/A
N/A
$704,470
Settled
Yes
predict

Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox

View
99%
44%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$6,390
$15,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago C

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,129,399
N/A
N/A
$1,315,533
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Chicago Cubs and the Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 26th. Currently, the consensus probability favors the Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox at 99.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi and Predict, and will resolve based on the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on the game’s completion – should it be postponed, the market will remain open until a winner is determined, but will resolve to a 50-50 split if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game scheduled for September 25, 2026, while the Predict market refers to a game scheduled for September 26, 2024. This represents a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the date discrepancy is resolved or understood. Focus on the Predict market for the current game.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolves based on the outcome of the September 26th game. Postponements extend the market; cancellations or ties result in a 50-50 split. "If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for September 25, 2026. "If Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs Boston professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the winning team of the specified professional baseball game. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond this window, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Chicago vs Boston game. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $3,570,803, with $3,465,322 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see where the crowd believes the outcome will land, and how that belief is changing over time. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of predictions for this event. It’s a great way to gauge overall market sentiment and compare how opinions are shifting on Kalshi versus Predict.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective forecasts of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. The wisdom of the crowd frequently outperforms individual expert opinions. However, sportsbook odds can be more readily available and offer different betting options.

Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Predict may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and the specific incentives offered on each platform. For example, Kalshi might attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to differing perspectives on the likely outcome. Additionally, the way each platform handles fees and margin requirements can influence pricing. While both platforms are tracking the same event, these factors can create temporary discrepancies in the odds offered for the Chicago vs Boston game.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations. Major announcements about team performance or key player availability would also likely cause price fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media trends, can also influence trading activity. Monitoring these factors closely can provide insights into potential market movements before this market resolves.