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Chicago C vs Baltimore: Total Runs
kalshi
predict

What is the total runs in Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles?

Volume:
$1,688,175

Over 4.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 4:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 4.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119,068
N/A
N/A
$66,951
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$39,001
N/A
N/A
$27,472
Settled
Yes
predict

Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$200,125
$80,449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$752,995
N/A
N/A
$454,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$135,990
N/A
N/A
$65,680
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 8.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123,927
N/A
N/A
$52,990
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$105,027
N/A
N/A
$45,185
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 10.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,178
N/A
N/A
$63,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,364
N/A
N/A
$35,796
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$77,678
N/A
N/A
$48,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 12.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,838
N/A
N/A
$24,454
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 13.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,659
N/A
N/A
$27,598
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Intro

This market tracks whether the Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles will combine for more than 6.5 runs in their matchup scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Predict shows 71.0% probability that combined runs will exceed 6.5. The resolution source is the official final score from the professional baseball game. Watch for weather updates and starting pitcher announcements in the days leading up to the July 9 game start time, as these factors typically influence run-scoring expectations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Predict platform and Kalshi platform are pricing entirely different events under the same game matchup. Predict resolves on game winner; Kalshi resolves on combined run totals. These outcomes are independent and require separate resolution logic.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets move together. A Cubs victory does not determine the run total outcome. Monitor both markets independently. Kalshi markets lack explicit edge-case handling for postponements or cancellations—clarify with Kalshi before game time if such scenarios are possible.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Winner-based market. Resolves to Cubs or Orioles based on final game result. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Run-total markets (11 separate thresholds from 3.5 to 13.5 runs). Each resolves Yes if combined runs exceed threshold. No explicit postponement, cancellation, or tie handling documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

This event comprises multiple markets, each corresponding to a specific combined run total threshold for the Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles game scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. Each market resolves to Yes if the combined runs scored by both teams exceeds its designated threshold (3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, 11.5, 12.5, or 13.5 runs). The resolution is based on the final official score of the completed game as recorded by Major League Baseball. Bettors can select any threshold market to express their view on whether the game will be a high-scoring or low-scoring affair. All markets are evaluated against the same game outcome, with each threshold operating independently.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for July 9 at 6:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price the same event through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and manage risk via juice or vig, while prediction markets like those tracked here rely on continuous trader participation to discover prices. Prediction markets often reflect sharper, more dynamic pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings instantly. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where professional bettors are positioning ahead of the game. Both sources are useful, but prediction markets tend to update faster as new information emerges.

Kalshi and Predict may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and market design. Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts traders with distinct risk tolerances and information sets, so consensus can shift between venues. Liquidity imbalances also matter: lower volume on one platform can allow prices to drift further from the true probability. Monitoring both helps you spot when one market is overvalued or undervalued relative to the other, creating potential trading signals before prices converge.

Key catalysts include lineup announcements, injury reports, weather forecasts, and recent team performance trends. Starting pitcher matchups significantly influence run expectations, so roster updates or bullpen changes can shift prices sharply. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, humidity—affect ball carry and scoring pace. Betting action from sharp money or sudden volume spikes often signal new information entering the market. Monitor pregame commentary and social media for late-breaking news that could alter trader positioning before the game begins.