TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chicago C vs Baltimore: Total Bases
kalshi

How many total bases will be accumulated in Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles?

Volume:
$9,600

Pete Crow-Armstrong: 2+

 - Kalshi

Pete Crow-Armstrong: 2+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 7, 10:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pete Crow-Armstrong: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,860
N/A
N/A
$3,735
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Bregman: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
$380
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alex Bregman: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
$132
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adley Rutschman: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dansby Swanson: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
$64
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miguel Amaya: 3+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miguel Amaya: 2+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
$19
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pete Crow-Armstrong: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,308
N/A
N/A
$1,308
Settled
No
kalshi

Pete Alonso: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$874
N/A
N/A
$868
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bregman: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$590
N/A
N/A
$590
Settled
No
kalshi

Pete Crow-Armstrong: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
No
kalshi

Pete Crow-Armstrong: 6+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
$221
Settled
No
kalshi

Pete Alonso: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Holliday: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
$160
Settled
No
kalshi

Pete Alonso: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$124
N/A
N/A
$124
Settled
No
kalshi

Ian Happ: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107
N/A
N/A
$107
Settled
No
kalshi

Dansby Swanson: 5+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96
N/A
N/A
$96
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Busch: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
No
kalshi

Blaze Alexander: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bregman: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
No
kalshi

Gunnar Henderson: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Holliday: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Ward: 2+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Holliday: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
$24
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Ward: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event tracks the total bases accumulated by individual players during the Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles game on July 7, 2026. Total bases are calculated by counting singles as 1 base, doubles as 2 bases, triples as 3 bases, and home runs as 4 bases.

Kalshi

Settlement is based on total bases recorded by each player during their at-bats in the game. Players must be in the starting lineup and record at least one plate appearance for the market to settle on actual performance; otherwise, it resolves to fair market price. Pinch-hit appearances do not count toward this metric. If a player is scratched or does not appear in the starting lineup, the market resolves to fair market price regardless of any subsequent entry into the game.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Chicago-Baltimore total bases market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for this prediction market centered on combined total bases in a matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Baltimore Orioles. The dashboard displays current market pricing, historical price movements, and trading activity to help you monitor how traders are positioning themselves on the outcome. You can view aggregate interest and liquidity metrics to understand market depth and participation levels as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real capital at stake. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges closer to game time. Comparing the two can reveal where market consensus differs from bookmaker pricing.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcome ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective expectations of active traders, with bid-ask spreads tightening as liquidity increases. As new data about player lineups, weather, or team form emerges, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift in real time to reflect updated probabilities.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the Chicago-Baltimore game concludes and the final total bases count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined number of bases reached by all batters across both teams during the game, including singles, doubles, triples, and home runs. Resolution occurs after official game statistics are published and confirmed.

Key catalysts include roster announcements, injury reports affecting star players, weather forecasts that influence playing conditions, and recent team performance trends. Bullpen strength and matchup history between the two clubs can shift trader sentiment significantly. As game time approaches, updated odds from sportsbooks and expert analysis may also influence market pricing. Breaking news about player availability or field conditions in the hours before first pitch often triggers sharp price movements.