TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 19, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team secures a lead exceeding specific run thresholds. The result reflects the competitive balance between the two teams in a scheduled match.
The event evaluates four distinct outcome scenarios for the Japan NPB baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for August 19, 2026. Each scenario corresponds to a specific run differential threshold for either team’s victory. If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only the outcome meeting the exact run-differential criteria for each respective market will resolve affirmatively, with all others resolving to No. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final run difference between the two teams will settle the market, closing all positions based on the official game result.
In the coming weeks, key signals such as player injuries, pitching rotations, and recent head-to-head performance could significantly impact this market. Weather conditions on game day might also influence the spread outcome. As Aug 19, 2026 approaches, any last-minute roster changes or strategic decisions by coaches will be closely watched by traders. Media reports and pre-game analytics releases often cause rapid shifts in market probabilities, reflecting updated expectations about which team might cover the spread.