TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$16,175

Over 7.5 runs scored

 - Kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 7:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,118
N/A
N/A
$6,410
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,552
N/A
N/A
$3,625
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,680
N/A
N/A
$947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$692
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between Chiba Lotte Marines and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Polymarket offers a binary win/loss market, while Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on combined run totals (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi track entirely different settlement values: Polymarket resolves on game winner/outcome, while Kalshi resolves on aggregate run totals. Kalshi also contains a data integrity error labeling NPB as 'College Baseball'.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with independent resolution paths. Polymarket requires only the final winner; Kalshi requires the final combined score. Verify Kalshi's sport classification is corrected. A game postponement or tie affects Polymarket (50-50 split) but does not directly resolve Kalshi markets—they still require a final combined run total.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary outcome market: resolves to 'Chiba Lotte Marines' if they win, 'Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles' if they win, or 50-50 if canceled/tied/no makeup. Source: official NPB information or credible consensus reporting.
  • Kalshi: Four separate over/under markets on combined runs (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, 11.5 thresholds). Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds threshold. Incorrectly labeled as 'College Baseball' instead of professional NPB. No explicit tie/cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 22 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total runs scored by both teams in the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines game on July 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Resolution occurs at four distinct run thresholds: 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, and 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, with resolution to Yes if the combined team score exceeds the specified threshold. The official game result as recorded by the governing league determines the final run total used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The Marines vs. Golden Eagles matchup dashboard aggregates prediction market prices across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting traders monitor real-time odds on the outcome of this NPB contest. Both venues allow you to track how market participants are pricing the game as new information emerges. The dashboard consolidates volume and price signals from multiple platforms, giving you a unified view of where predictors stand on this matchup. This cross-platform approach reveals consensus strength and helps identify when different venues diverge on the same event.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they serve distinct audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating a margin. Prediction markets rely on continuous trading among participants, so prices reflect live consensus without a built-in spread. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi may move faster than traditional sportsbook lines because traders can enter and exit positions instantly. Many bettors compare both to identify value, though prediction market prices tend to be more efficient over time due to real-money incentives and transparent order flow.

Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, recent team form, and head-to-head historical performance. Weather conditions on game day can significantly impact play and scoring expectations. Betting action from sharp traders often signals new information before it becomes widely known. Media coverage of player performance, managerial decisions, or roster updates may also shift odds. Close to the event, real-time updates during pre-game warm-ups and official confirmations of starting pitchers typically drive final price adjustments. Monitor both platforms for volume spikes, which often precede major moves.