TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$97,703

Chiba Lotte Marines

 - Kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 9:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,098
N/A
N/A
$29,522
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$45,553
N/A
N/A
$31,809
Settled
No
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This group forecasts the winner of a single baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles in Japan's Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB) league, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026. The markets will resolve based on which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket specifies the winning team as the resolution, while Kalshi uses a binary 'Yes' outcome for either team winning.Hero tip: Consider focusing on Polymarket for clearer resolution as it specifies the winning team, while Kalshi's 'Yes' outcome is less informative.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Chiba Lotte Marines or Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles). Postponements keep the market open; cancellations or ties resolve 50-50. "If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins. Does not specify handling of postponements, ties, or cancellations. "If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiba Lotte Marines wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 16 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiba Lotte Marines wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the NPB baseball matchup between Chiba Lotte Marines and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $97,703, with $97,684 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, though individual platforms may show differing probabilities. The current market indicates a strong expectation for one team to win, but traders can express alternative views and potentially profit from discrepancies.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Unexpected news regarding key players – injuries, lineup changes, or performance updates – could significantly impact predictions. Weather conditions at the game location could also play a role, potentially favoring one team over the other. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams’ chances of winning could drive trading volume and alter the price of this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.