TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$42,695

Chiba Lotte Marines

 - Kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 10, 7:39 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,013
N/A
N/A
$16,204
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,447
N/A
N/A
$15,150
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a single baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a win for either team as a 'Yes' resolution, while Polymarket resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is essentially asking if a winner will be determined, making it more likely to resolve 'Yes' than Polymarket's market, which requires predicting the correct winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Chiba Lotte Marines or Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles). A canceled or tied game results in a 50-50 split. "If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines"."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles or Chiba Lotte Marines wins the game. "If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 10 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiba Lotte Marines wins the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the NPB baseball matchup between Chiba Lotte Marines and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $42,695, with $40,118 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, though individual platform prices can vary. The dashboard provides a convenient way to monitor how the market assesses the likelihood of each team winning this contest, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set lines based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. In contrast, prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. This market’s odds reflect real-time opinions and can be more sensitive to new information, potentially offering more accurate probabilities than traditional betting lines. However, volume plays a role; lower volume may lead to greater price discrepancies.