TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles?

Volume:
$45,800

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

 - Kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 8:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,260
N/A
N/A
$17,919
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,247
N/A
N/A
$10,434
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This group forecasts the winner of a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with a potential 50-50 split if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi references a different game entirely (Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles) than Polymarket (Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles). This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable in relation to the group's stated intent.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market. It is highly likely to resolve incorrectly given the game discrepancy. Focus solely on the Polymarket market, but independently verify the game date and time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles game on September 9th at 5:00AM ET. A 50-50 split occurs for cancellations or ties. "If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters or Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins their game on September 5th at 5:00 AM EDT. "If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 9 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win, the market will resolve to "Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Japan NPB game between Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles scheduled for September 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball matchup between Chiba Lotte Marines and Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles. Currently, there's a consensus view forming across these platforms, with a total volume of $45,800 and 24-hour volume of $44,709. While both venues offer a way to predict the result, the probabilities expressed can vary. This dashboard aggregates those probabilities, providing a comprehensive view of where the crowd stands on this particular contest. It allows users to see how opinions are shifting in real-time as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, while sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may incorporate information not immediately factored into traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may also adjust odds based on betting volume to manage their risk, whereas prediction markets allow for more organic price discovery. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event occurring, and frequently, the odds converge as the event approaches. This market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional betting venues.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either team, or broader shifts in team momentum, could also drive price movements. Major announcements related to the teams or the league could also cause volatility. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.