TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 6:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between two baseball teams in a specific game. It focuses on how many runs one team wins by compared to the other, reflecting potential dominance in the match. Outcomes depend entirely on the final score difference between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Saitama Seibu Lions.
These markets evaluate the margin of victory in the Chiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu Lions game scheduled for August 16, 2026. Four distinct outcome categories exist: Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 2.5 runs, Saitama Seibu Lions winning by over 1.5 runs, Chiba Lotte Marines winning by over 1.5 runs, and Chiba Lotte Marines winning by over 2.5 runs. Each market resolves based solely on whether the winning team exceeds the specified run differential threshold. All markets operate independently, and the resolving entity explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Japan NPB or its intellectual property.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect the collective wisdom of Kalshi traders, who price in factors like recent team performance and pitcher matchups. Sportsbook odds, set by professional oddsmakers, may differ due to varying models, public betting patterns, and different risk appetites. Comparing the two can reveal mispricings or highlight where the crowd sees value that traditional books may not yet account for.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score after all regulation time and any applicable extra innings, with no adjustments for disputed calls or later revisions.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could shift this market as Aug 16, 2026 approaches. Strong performance in preceding matches, especially by starting pitchers, may also influence trader sentiment. Any news affecting team momentum or home-field advantage could cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi before the game concludes.