TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
polymarket
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

Volume:
$104,120

Chiba Lotte Marines

 - Kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 7:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$46,168
N/A
N/A
$28,235
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saitama Seibu Lions

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,705
N/A
N/A
$30,217
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of an NPB baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Saitama Seibu Lions scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, or whether the game is postponed, canceled, or ends in a tie.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic mismatch where Kalshi always resolves to Yes regardless of game outcome, while Polymarket uses standard win/loss/draw resolutionHero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event until platform logic is corrected to align with Polymarket and standard sports resolution practices. Polymarket represents proper resolution logic for this sports event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name if that team wins, 50-50 for ties/cancellations. Uses standard sports resolution logic with clear edge case handling
  • Kalshi: Always resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins, creating logical contradiction with Polymarket and standard sports resolution practices
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 5 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Saitama Seibu Lions win, the market will resolve to "Saitama Seibu Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for August 5, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. In the event of a tie, the market resolves at 50/50. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.