TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 4:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market covers the combined scoring output in a Japan NPB baseball game between Chiba Lotte Marines and Orix Buffaloes scheduled for July 25, 2026. Bettors predict whether the total runs scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds.
The event resolves based on the total combined runs scored by Chiba Lotte Marines and Orix Buffaloes in their Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT. Resolution occurs at four distinct run thresholds: if combined scoring exceeds 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, or 11.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves affirmatively. Each threshold represents an independent resolution condition, allowing bettors to take positions on different levels of offensive output in the matchup.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on analytics and margins, prediction markets let traders bet directly on outcomes, which can create prices that diverge from standard sportsbook totals. This difference allows bettors to compare expectations and potentially find value based on crowd-sourced insights rather than institutional lines.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Chiba Lotte Marines versus Orix Buffaloes game will determine whether the total runs fall above or below the line, closing the market based on official box scores.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can all shift expectations for scoring and move this market. Updates from coaches, player performance trends, and even recent head-to-head matchups may cause traders to adjust their bets as the game approaches, influencing the odds on Kalshi before settlement.