TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes?

Volume:
$67,253

Orix Buffaloes

 - Kalshi

Orix Buffaloes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 22, 2026

Closed: Sep 22, 8:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,824
N/A
N/A
$26,750
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
71%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,235
N/A
N/A
$13,933
Settled
No
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a single baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Orix Buffaloes, scheduled for September 22nd. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split in the event of a tie or cancellation without a makeup game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market is scheduled for a game in 2026, while Polymarket's is for a game in 2024, creating a fundamental unresolvable conflict.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market as it is for a different game date. Focus solely on Polymarket if you intend to predict the outcome of the September 22, 2024 game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the September 22, 2024 game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Orix Buffaloes. "If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes".
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the September 22, 2026 game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Orix Buffaloes. "If Chiba Lotte Marines wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for September 22 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Orix Buffaloes wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiba Lotte Marines wins the Orix Buffaloes vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Sep 22, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks need to account for profit margins and potential biases. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and collective insight. The difference between the two can sometimes be significant, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on outcomes, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in market mechanics can lead to price discrepancies. Additionally, varying levels of participation and information access on each platform can influence prices. For example, if a large group of well-informed traders focuses on Polymarket, it may lead to a more efficient price discovery process there. The differing user bases and trading volumes between the two platforms also contribute to these variations.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries or changes in team performance are likely to shift probabilities. Unexpected results in other games could also influence the perceived chances of each team. Major news events, such as changes in coaching staff or significant trades, could also move the market. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by betting volume on Polymarket and Kalshi, can also cause price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading.