TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes
kalshi
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes

Volume:
$42,566

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes

 - Polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 9:10 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Orix Buffaloes

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 7.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,973
N/A
N/A
$10,335
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,298
N/A
N/A
$7,151
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 9.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,105
N/A
N/A
$2,921
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 11.5 runs scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,487
N/A
N/A
$1,608
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers two distinct baseball games involving the Chiba Lotte Marines and Orix Buffaloes. The first is an NPB professional league game scheduled for August 9, 2024, while the second refers to a college baseball game scheduled for August 8, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets refer to entirely different games (professional NPB league vs. college baseball) occurring on different datesHero tip: Traders should verify the specific game details (date, league level) before participating. These markets will resolve independently based on their respective games.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the NPB professional league game on August 9, 2024. Market resolves to winning team, remains open if postponed, and splits 50-50 for cancellations or ties. Source: official NPB information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on run totals in a college baseball game scheduled for August 8, 2026, with multiple threshold conditions (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 9 at 4:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Orix Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to "Orix Buffaloes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both teams in a single college baseball game scheduled for August 8, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score surpasses that level. All markets are based on the official game result, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal association with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks, logos, or brand names. The resolution depends solely on the actual runs scored during the match as it was originally scheduled.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Marines vs. Buffaloes matchup market aggregates betting activity across multiple venues, showing real-time odds, volume of $42,566, and 24-hour volume at $37,209. It provides a consensus view of how traders on different platforms price this market, letting users compare sentiment and spot trends as the game approaches.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts different user bases and liquidity depths. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This often leads to distinct probability assessments, especially when recent team news or pitching changes shift expectations. The way traders interpret new data, combined with varying volume on each venue, helps explain the gap in implied chances between the two markets.