TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fighters
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters?

Volume:
$11,080

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

 - Polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fighters - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 10:58 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Nippon Ham Fighters

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,448
N/A
N/A
$2,390
Settled
No
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,778
N/A
N/A
$1,603
Settled
No
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 1.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,508
N/A
N/A
$749
Settled
No
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines wins by over 2.5 runs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
$876
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of the NPB baseball game between Chiba Lotte Marines and Nippon Ham Fighters scheduled for August 21 at 5:00AM ET. The markets differ in their resolution criteria, with one focusing on the simple win condition and the other on run differentials.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The markets have fundamentally different resolution criteria - one is a simple win/loss market while the other is based on run differential thresholdsHero tip: Traders should treat these as separate bets. A Chiba Lotte Marines win by exactly 2 runs would resolve Polymarket to Marines but might not meet any Kalshi threshold. Always check both market rules before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Chiba Lotte Marines or Nippon Ham Fighters), with 50-50 split for ties or cancellations. Key quote: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes only if specific run differential thresholds are met (Marines win by >1.5 or >2.5 runs, or Fighters win by >1.5 or >2.5 runs). Key quote: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 2.5 runs... then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 21 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

These markets resolve according to the run differential in the game between the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters and Chiba Lotte Marines scheduled for August 21, 2026. If the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. If they win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes. If the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market is resolved independently based exclusively on the final score differential.