TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 3:01 AM EST
Kalshi
Two baseball teams compete in a match where the combined runs scored determine potential outcomes. The first outcome depends on whether the total runs exceed a specific threshold. The second requires surpassing a higher threshold, making it a stricter condition.
These markets resolve based on the total runs scored by both teams in a specified baseball game. The first market resolves to Yes if the combined runs exceed 5.5. The second requires more than 7.5 runs, the third more than 9.5 runs, and the fourth more than 11.5 runs. All markets refer to the same game scheduled for August 30, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as recent team performance trends or injury updates, which can create opportunities for value bets compared to standard sportsbook lines. The dynamic nature of this market allows for continuous adjustment based on new data, potentially offering sharper or more nuanced pricing than fixed sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the match will determine whether the total runs fall above or below the line, and the result is locked in shortly after the game concludes. Traders can watch for official score updates and news sources to confirm the settling process.
Key performances from star players, pitching rotations, or late-game strategies could shift this market as the match approaches. Weather conditions affecting gameplay, lineup changes due to injuries, and even recent head-to-head results may influence trader expectations. As Aug 30, 2026 nears, any last-minute roster updates or tactical decisions by coaches will likely drive volatility in this market, with traders rapidly adjusting positions based on new information.