TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 7:34 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two professional teams. Each market corresponds to a specific run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game as it was scheduled to occur on a specific date and time.
These markets resolve based on the run differential by which either the Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters or the Chiba Lotte Marines win the specified Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the winning team exceeds the stated run margin threshold—either 1.5 or 2.5 runs—for their respective victory. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise does not complete as scheduled, all markets will resolve as 'No'. Kalsci explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including key player injuries, weather forecasts affecting game conditions, and changes to starting pitchers. Performance trends in recent matches, such as a team’s batting or pitching efficiency, may also influence trader sentiment. As the game nears, any announcement regarding lineups or park conditions will likely cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi, reflecting updated expectations for who will cover the spread.