TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Volume:
$7,562

Yes

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 7:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,187
N/A
N/A
$2,325
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group covers two distinct NPB baseball game markets between the Chiba Lotte Marines and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The Polymarket contract resolves based on the outcome of the game scheduled for August 27, while the Kalshi contract resolves based on whether either team scores a run in the first inning of a different game scheduled for August 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These markets reference entirely different games (August 27 vs August 25, 2026) with different resolution criteria (game outcome vs first-inning scoring)Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with no expected correlation. Verify the specific game date and resolution criteria for each contract before trading.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team of the August 27 game, remains open if postponed, splits if canceled/tied
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team scores in the first inning of the August 25, 2026 game
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 27 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Fukuoka Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines professional Japan NPB baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries, pitching changes, weather conditions, and key performances leading up to the game can all shift this market. Traders will react to any news affecting either team's likelihood of winning or specific game dynamics, such as a star player being ruled out or a surprise starter taking the mound. As these updates roll out, expect volatility and adjusted probabilities on both platforms.