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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$491,812

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

 - Polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 26, 10:55 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
50%
3%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
100¢
N/A
$306,287
N/A
N/A
$193,072
Settled
No
kalshi

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

View
50%
5%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
100¢
N/A
$181,695
N/A
N/A
$123,116
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of baseball games between Chiba Lotte Marines and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 99.5%, combining data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution governed by npb.jp. A key catalyst to monitor will be the end of the betting period on August 26, 2026, which determines the final market settlement for this event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: These are two completely different baseball games with separate teams and dates, creating a fundamental mismatch in settlement criteriaHero tip: Treat these as separate markets resolving different games. Do not confuse the Hawks vs Fighters game (Aug 20) with the Marines vs Hawks game (Aug 26)

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves based on Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters game scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT
  • Polymarket: Resolves based on Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks game scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 26 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Fukuoka Hawks wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters wins the Fukuoka Hawks vs Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 20, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Marines vs. Hawks matchup market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing real-time volume of $491,812 and 24-hour volume of $489,343. It displays the consensus view from Polymarket and Kalshi, letting participants see how trader sentiment shifts as the game approaches. This unified view helps users compare expectations and spot trends before the event concludes.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each venue attracts different participant bases and liquidity depths. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might see heavier retail interest, skewing its odds, while the other could reflect more institutional or global traders. Additionally, differing trading volumes — such as $489,343 over 24 hours — influence how quickly prices adjust to new data, leading to temporary mismatches between the two.