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Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$57,495

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 7:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,248
N/A
N/A
$18,649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,698
N/A
N/A
$13,107
Settled
No
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group tracks the outcome of an upcoming NPB baseball game between the Chiba Lotte Marines and the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks scheduled for August 25 at 5:00AM ET. The resolution depends on which team wins the game, with specific rules for ties, cancellations, or postponements.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between three-outcome (Polymarket) and binary (Kalshi) resolutionsHero tip: Prefer Polymarket for full outcome coverage; Kalshi requires manual intervention for non-win results and may not resolve correctly for ties/cancellations

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-outcome market: resolves to winning team name, 50-50 for ties/cancellations, remains open for postponements. Uses NPB as primary source with credible reporting consensus as backup.
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes market that resolves Yes for either team win with no explicit provisions for ties, cancellations, or postponements. Resolution logic appears incomplete relative to official NPB rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for August 25 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the Fukuoka Hawks versus Chiba Lotte Marines game scheduled for August 25, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the Fukuoka Hawks win, the first market resolves to Yes; if the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the second market resolves to Yes. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve at 50/50. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Marines vs. Hawks matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how trader sentiment and volume evolve as the game approaches. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $57,495, and 24-hour volume of $56,490 across venues. This centralized view helps users compare trends and spot shifts in expectation for this market, reflecting collective insight from participants on different prediction markets.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because of differing user bases, liquidity levels, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favored team, while the other reflects a broader, international audience. Such variations in participation and information flow often create price gaps that evolve as new game data emerges.