TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks?

Volume:
$142,865

Fukuoka Hawks

 - Kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 7:44 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fukuoka Hawks

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115,420
N/A
N/A
$88,823
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chiba Lotte Marines

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,052
N/A
N/A
$14,152
Settled
No
polymarket

Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) matchup between the Chiba Lotte Marines and Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing the outcome of this game, with resolution tied to the official winner.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES for both possible game outcomes (Hawks win OR Marines win), rendering the market logically unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket correctly maps outcomes to specific team names.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi until clarification is obtained. The market as documented cannot distinguish between the two teams and will resolve YES regardless of which team wins, making it impossible to profit from accurate prediction. Polymarket is the only resolvable market in this group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to specific team name: "Chiba Lotte Marines" if Marines win, "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks" if Hawks win. Tie, cancellation, or no make-up game resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Source: official NPB information.
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if Hawks win OR YES if Marines win. Both possible game outcomes trigger YES resolution, creating a logical contradiction that makes the market non-functional as a binary predictor.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for July 19 at 5:00AM ET: If the Chiba Lotte Marines win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Lotte Marines". If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the Fukuoka Hawks vs Chiba Lotte Marines Japan NPB game originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Resolution depends on the final game outcome: if the Hawks win, that market resolves Yes; if the Marines win, that market resolves Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. Games cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days resolve to a fair price per rules. Tied games resolve both markets to 50/50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market pricing for the Marines vs. Hawks matchup across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor real-time odds on the game outcome. Both venues let traders buy and sell shares tied to the result, with prices reflecting the collective forecast of market participants. You can track volume across platforms and compare how each community is pricing the event, giving you a multi-venue view of consensus expectations for this matchup.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks both express probability, but they operate differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive odds from open trading between participants with real money at stake. Prediction market prices often reflect longer-term sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges. Many traders use both sources to identify discrepancies and spot value before major events.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity levels, and trading strategies, which can push prices apart even on the same underlying event. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have different fee structures, user interfaces, or promotional incentives that influence order flow. Additionally, timing lags in information flow between venues and varying levels of market depth can cause temporary price gaps, creating opportunities for arbitrage-minded traders.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Weather conditions on game day, home-field advantage dynamics, and late-breaking lineup decisions can all shift trader sentiment. Media coverage, expert commentary, and betting action from other markets may also influence pricing. As the event date approaches, real-time updates during pre-game activities often trigger sharp price movements.