TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:25 AM EST
Kalshi
The contest focuses on which team wins and by how much, with different markets requiring varying margins of victory. Outcomes depend on the winning team's ability to maintain a lead above specific run differences.
This event includes several markets determining the outcome of the Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Hawks NPB game scheduled for September 13, 2026, based on the margin of victory. Two markets concern the Fukuoka Hawks winning by more than 2.5 runs and more than 1.5 runs, while the other two markets involve the Chiba Lotte Marines winning by more than 1.5 runs and more than 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by the required run margin. The official game result dictates the resolution, and Kalshi explicitly states no affiliation with the governing league or claim to associated trademarks and brand names.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time sentiment and information from individuals actively trading on the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into how the public and informed traders perceive the likelihood of different results in this contest.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Chiba Lotte Marines versus Fukuoka Hawks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 1.5 runs. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and widely available sports news outlets, ensuring a transparent and verifiable determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Chiba Lotte Marines or the Fukuoka Hawks would likely cause significant movement. Changes in pitching matchups, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected performance in other games affecting playoff standings might also indirectly impact trading volume and the perceived value of contracts in this market.