TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 7:50 AM EST
Kalshi
The result is contingent on the extent of the winning team's lead. A Yes outcome occurs if one team secures a victory by more than a specified run difference.
The market resolves to Yes if Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 2.5 runs, Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 1.5 runs, Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 1.5 runs, or Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 2.5 runs in their Japan NPB game scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. Each rule corresponds to a different winning margin threshold for either team, and the market outcome depends on whether the actual margin exceeds the specified threshold. Kalshi clarifies it has no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks are property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Chiba Lotte Marines versus Fukuoka Hawks spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Chiba Lotte Marines versus Fukuoka Hawks game. The market will determine whether the Fukuoka Hawks win by over 1.5 runs, as defined by the market conditions on Kalshi. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts impacting the game could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even strategic announcements from team management, could also trigger price fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, especially as the game approaches and more attention is focused on the Chiba Lotte Marines versus Fukuoka Hawks matchup.