TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 3:45 AM EST
Kalshi
Chiba Lotte Marines and Fukuoka Hawks will play a baseball game where bettors can choose from several spread options. Wagers will depend on the size of the winning team's victory, with different required margins for each market to pay out.
This event comprises four primary rules for the Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game scheduled for August 11, 2026, at 1:00 AM EDT. The first market resolves to Yes if the Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 2.5 runs. The second market resolves to Yes if the Fukuoka Hawks win by more than 1.5 runs. The third market resolves to Yes if the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 1.5 runs. The fourth market resolves to Yes if the Chiba Lotte Marines win by more than 2.5 runs. Secondary rules across all markets specify that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League, and that all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders rather than set benchmarks. While sportsbooks may post a static spread, prediction markets adjust dynamically based on new information, trading volume, and participant behavior. This can lead to tighter or wider spreads depending on market activity and sentiment compared to standard sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders manually set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent the possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each side. As new data emerges — such as player injuries or weather conditions — participants adjust their positions, causing the market price to shift accordingly.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score and whether the Fukuoka Hawks meet the spread requirement against the Chiba Lotte Marines, as recorded by authoritative sports databases and broadcast sources.
Injuries to key players, weather changes affecting game conditions, and shifting team momentum can all influence this market. Media reports, coach statements, and performance trends leading up to the game may cause traders to reassess probabilities. Any unexpected developments that impact the teams’ likely performance have the potential to move prices significantly before Aug 11, 2026.