TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 8:04 AM EST
Kalshi
In a final Japanese baseball contest for August 12, 2026, the Chiba Lotte Marines play against the Fukuoka Hawks. The market outcome will reflect which team emerges victorious in this game.
The market resolves based on the result of the Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka Hawks Japan NPB game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT. If Chiba Lotte Marines wins, their market resolves to Yes; if Fukuoka Hawks wins, their market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price. A tie results in a 50/50 resolution for both markets.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader speculation and event-specific dynamics. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment, news, and shifting conditions. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or as favorite status changes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions, where participants set odds based on their expectations for the outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate view of market participants, with liquidity indicated by volume of $110,651. Prices adjust dynamically as new information emerges or as trading volume changes.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is then matched against the market’s defined criteria to finalize settlement.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and recent performance metrics can all shift trader sentiment in this market. As the match date nears, any public polling data, expert analysis, or unexpected developments — such as weather conditions or lineup announcements — may cause rapid adjustments in odds. Traders will also react to any significant betting volume spikes or large orders placed on Kalshi.