TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 9:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on determining whether one team will dominate the final quarter of a football game by a specific margin. Each outcome represents a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively. Only points scored in the last quarter count toward these outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the fourth quarter of the designated Chicago Bears vs. Tennessee Titans game, excluding any overtime periods. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory: outcomes range from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points for either team. If the Titans win the fourth quarter by exceeding their specified margin, the corresponding 'TEN Titans wins 4Q by over X.X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if the Bears achieve their designated margin of victory in the fourth quarter, the relevant 'CHI Bears wins 4Q by over X.X points' market resolves to Yes. No points scored outside the fourth quarter or during overtime affect any market outcome. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold must be evaluated separately against the actual fourth-quarter result.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on a mix of public betting, sharp money, and proprietary models, prediction market odds are driven purely by trader sentiment and real-time betting activity. This can lead to tighter spreads or larger discrepancies, depending on how traders perceive the teams' fourth-quarter performance potential.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential from the last quarter will determine which side covers the spread, closing the market based on that definitive result.
Injuries, weather conditions, or key plays in earlier quarters could shift trader sentiment and move this market. If either team shows strong momentum or struggles early, expectations for fourth-quarter performance may change, impacting odds. Coach strategies and quarterback performance are also common catalysts that traders watch closely as the game progresses.