TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of the first quarter in an upcoming professional football game. It allows participants to speculate on which team will lead at the end of the first quarter and by how much. The outcome depends solely on the scoring difference between the two teams during that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Chicago Bears and the Tennessee Titans exclusively during the first quarter of their scheduled game on August 29, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point-spread threshold for either team winning the quarter. If the winning team exceeds the stated spread—for example, if the Titans win by more than 10.5 points, or the Bears win by more than 7.5 points—the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' If the spread is not met, the market resolves to 'No.' All outcomes are determined solely by points scored in the first quarter, with no consideration for the full game's result or any subsequent quarters. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league governing the game, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, traders in the 1st quarter spread market set odds based on their expectations for the game’s early momentum. Sportsbook lines may differ due to broader betting volumes and varying risk models. Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more granular insights because participants are directly betting on the specific outcome. The difference between the two can highlight where informed traders see value versus public betting trends. Monitoring both can provide a clearer picture of perceived probabilities and potential shifts before Aug 30, 2026.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible spread outcome. The market price adjusts instantly to reflect new information, trader sentiment, and volume fluctuations, offering a unique view of how participants expect the game to unfold in the first quarter.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter will be compared to the market’s spread line to determine which side covers, and the result is locked in based on official game records.