TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Green Bay Packers will win their professional football game against the Chicago Bears. Currently, Kalshi gives Green Bay a 99.0% probability of winning, while Chicago is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the CHI Bears vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
If Green Bay wins the CHI Bears vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins the CHI Bears vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective belief of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. You may find that this market’s probabilities shift more dynamically in response to late-breaking news or changes in public perception than traditional sportsbook odds. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or risk assessment among participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher its contract price will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities for the Bears-Packers game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bears-Packers game as determined by official league sources. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bears or the Packers would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Major coaching changes, unexpected weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant changes in team performance during other games could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can also play a role, though informed traders often prioritize concrete information over general opinion. Keep an eye on these signals as the game approaches.