TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how many points the Chicago Bears and Carolina Panthers score together in the final quarter of their football game. Each market has a different threshold, so bettors can choose how high they think the scoring will be in that specific period.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the 4th quarter of the designated Pro Football game, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a unique threshold: if the combined score exceeds the specified number (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 10.5, 13.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 21.5, or 24.5), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcome depends solely on in-game performance during the final quarter, and all markets share the same scoring criteria but differ only in their resolution thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized information. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see divergences, especially as new information emerges, like injury reports or weather forecasts, impacting the perceived probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter total points scored. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the fair probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the odds can shift rapidly based on new information and changing sentiment, offering a unique perspective compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 4th quarter of the Bears-Panthers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the 4th quarter will be the determining factor, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual total exceeds or falls below the threshold defined by the market. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process based on the official game results.
Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bears or the Panthers would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they’re expected to affect the passing or running game, could also drive movement. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also influence trader sentiment. Finally, as the game progresses, live scoring updates and in-game adjustments will undoubtedly cause the market to react in real-time.