TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:19 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of a specific football game. Each threshold represents a progressively higher point total that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively. Only points scored in the designated quarter are considered for resolution.
The markets collectively assess whether the total points scored by both the Chicago Bears and Carolina Panthers during the second quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. Resolution hinges solely on the combined second-quarter scoring, with each market defining a unique point total that must be surpassed for a 'Yes' outcome. All markets share the consistent secondary rule that only points scored within the second quarter count, ensuring focus remains strictly on that period regardless of overall game dynamics. The structure allows participants to speculate on varying levels of offensive output within that specific quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their true beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second quarter of the Bears-Panthers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the second quarter will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side of the specified point total. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source of truth for the final score, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Bears or the Panthers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, in-game events during the first quarter, such as a quick scoring drive or a turnover, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding situation. Public sentiment and betting trends can also play a role in driving price fluctuations.