TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:58 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC score more goals than Wuhan San Zhen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC score more goals than Chengdu Rongcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC score more goals than Wuhan San Zhen FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Wuhan San Zhen FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Wuhan San Zhen FC" if Wuhan San Zhen FC score more goals than Chengdu Rongcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, incorporating a margin for profit. Prediction markets, by contrast, aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders with real money at stake, which can surface sharper, less biased estimates of true probability. This market's odds may move faster than traditional sportsbooks in response to breaking news, team updates, or betting patterns, making it a useful barometer for comparing against conventional betting lines.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by all participants; as traders buy or sell, the price adjusts continuously. This mechanism ensures that the market price converges toward the true probability over time, rewarding accurate forecasters and penalizing poor predictions. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, and the spread between bid and ask prices reflects the market's liquidity and confidence.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, once the second half of the Chengdu Rongcheng FC versus Wuhan San Zhen FC match has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by which team scores more goals in the second half, or whether the result is a draw. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and official confirmation, ensuring all relevant information is available before settlement.
Several factors could shift this market's odds before Aug 1, 2026. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price movements. First-half performance is a major catalyst; a strong opening half by either side typically reshapes expectations for the second half. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and real-time momentum swings during the match itself will also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any breaking developments regarding player fitness or unexpected roster moves can prompt rapid repricing as participants update their forecasts.