TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Chinese Super League soccer match between Chengdu Rongcheng FC and Qingdao Xihaian FC (also referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC) scheduled for April 3, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, covering outcomes for a Chengdu win, Qingdao win, and draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical match scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and timing (April 3, 2026), with aligned postponement and cancellation handling, though Kalshi's cancellation logic creates a technical quirk where all three outcomes resolve Yes.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Chinese Super League (CSL) statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official stats not published within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Chengdu Rongcheng win resolves Yes on Polymarket if Chengdu wins, No otherwise
- Qingdao Xihaian FC win resolves Yes on Polymarket if Qingdao wins, No otherwise
- Draw resolves Yes on Polymarket if match ends in a draw, No otherwise
- Kalshi markets resolve Yes for any match outcome (Tie, Chengdu win, or Qingdao win)
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Polymarket win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi all markets resolve Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's Chengdu win and Qingdao win markets resolve No while the draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi's markets all resolve Yes regardless of outcome type
- Official Stats Delay: If official CSL statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus of credible reporting sources
- Team Name Variation: Qingdao Xihaian FC is referred to as Qingdao West Coast FC on Kalshi; both refer to the same team
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on April 3, 2026, following the 90-minute plus stoppage time period, with official stats expected within 2 hours; if postponed, resolution timing extends to the rescheduled match dateOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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